From Diplomatic Deadlock to Military Clashes: The Pakistan–Afghanistan Crisis Deepens/AK Haq

With diplomatic channels largely exhausted — primarily due to the Afghan Taliban’s apparent unwillingness to curb cross-border militancy — the clashes that erupted between Pakistan and Afghanistan on Thursday were hardly unforeseen. For months, tensions had been mounting as Islamabad repeatedly warned Kabul that militant groups operating from Afghan soil were orchestrating relentless attacks inside Pakistan. These concerns, however, failed to translate into meaningful action on the ground.

Pakistan has consistently urged the Taliban authorities to dismantle safe havens used by outfits such as the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the Islamic State-Khorasan (IS-K). Despite these warnings, attacks on Pakistani civilians and security forces continued unabated, with investigations tracing many of them back to sanctuaries across the western border. Islamabad’s frustration deepened as diplomatic engagements yielded little tangible progress.

It was in this context that Pakistan conducted targeted operations on February 22 against what it described as terrorist bases inside Afghanistan. Rather than addressing Islamabad’s security concerns, Kabul responded with force along the border, choosing military confrontation over cooperation. Pakistan, in turn, retaliated by striking multiple sites it identified as militant and military positions. The exchange marked a dangerous escalation between two uneasy neighbours.

From Islamabad’s perspective, the decision to act militarily was not taken lightly but was compelled by persistent cross-border attacks and what it views as the Taliban’s intransigence. Faced with a deteriorating security situation and mounting casualties, Pakistan argues it had little choice but to defend itself decisively.

However, with both countries now engaged in direct hostilities, the urgency for de-escalation cannot be overstated. China has publicly called for restraint and a ceasefire, while Iran has offered to mediate between the two sides. Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar has also reached out to his counterparts in Turkey and Saudi Arabia to discuss the evolving crisis. These diplomatic overtures underscore the broader regional anxiety that further escalation would destabilize an already volatile neighbourhood.

At the heart of the impasse lies the Taliban’s reluctance — or inability — to decisively act against militant groups operating within Afghanistan. Early hopes that “Taliban 2.0” might pursue a more pragmatic and internationally responsible course have largely faded. The movement’s historical refusal to sever ties with extremist organizations previously led to international isolation, foreign intervention, and immense suffering for Afghanistan’s people.

Today, critics argue, history risks repeating itself. Pakistan maintains it possesses credible evidence linking TTP and IS-K elements in Afghanistan to attacks inside its territory. Tajikistan has voiced similar security concerns, and even China is believed to have pressed Kabul through diplomatic channels to curb militant activity. The message from the region is clear: unchecked militancy threatens not just Pakistan but Afghanistan’s broader relations with its neighbours.

The immediate priority must be an unconditional ceasefire and structured, substantive negotiations. While Pakistan asserts its right to self-defence, prolonged confrontation serves neither country’s interests. Ultimately, lasting peace hinges on Kabul’s willingness to address the root cause of the crisis — the presence of armed groups using Afghan territory to launch attacks abroad. Without decisive action on this front, the cycle of retaliation and instability is likely to persist, to the detriment of regional security.

Shafaqna Pakistan

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Note: Shafaqna do not endorse the views expressed in the article 

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